Dip Season Just Dropped: Bernstein Says 60% Crypto Stock Crash = “Big Discounts on Big Businesses” (Degen Edition)
Crypto-linked equities are teetering on the edge of a sale bin, according to Bernstein, the Wall Street crew that moonlights as a crypto bargain hunter. In a Monday report, they declared that the sector’s ~60% plunge from its 2025 highs has turned once overhyped tickers into what they’re cheekily calling “big businesses at big discounts” — aka, the financial version of finding a Lambo in a foreclosure auction.
“The combination of geopolitics and temporary crypto weak sentiment is offering big discounts on crypto stocks,” mused Gautam Chhugani and the Bernstein squad, sounding like traders who just stumbled into a Nordstrom Rack for overleveraged tech. The implication? Fear is peaking, bags are being dumped, and the smart money might be eyeing the exit signs on the panic exits.
Bernstein expects the pain to linger through Q1 earnings — because of course it will, this is crypto, not Disney+ — but insists current levels are a golden (or perhaps orange) ticket into companies riding real, growing markets: stablecoins (aka the dollar’s rebellious younger sibling), tokenization (Wall Street’s midlife crisis), prediction markets (degen futures), and derivatives (where the math gets spicy and the margin calls arrive fast).
Since peaking in October 2025, the crypto universe has been in full retreat, like a bear market with a grudge. Bitcoin shed 40%-50% from its $126,000 all-time high high-water mark, while the entire digital asset market vaporized around $2 trillion in value. The usual suspects are blamed: macro doom, regulatory cold feet, and traders realizing they had 10x leverage on a coin that pays no yield. The result? A wipeout so thorough it made last bull run look like a fever dream.
Despite slashing price targets across the board — because nothing says “buy” like cutting your forecast by 25% — Bernstein kept its Outperform ratings on Coinbase (COIN), Robinhood (HOOD), and Figure (FIGR). They just don’t make conviction like they used to, or maybe they do, but with less margin for error. The new targets: $330 for Coinbase (down from $440), $130 for Robinhood (from $160), and $67 for Figure (from $72). It’s like saying, “We still love you, but we’re not paying full price for the hoodie.”
At press time, Coinbase was trading at $165.50 — roughly half the new target, which either means massive upside or that the analysts forgot to update their spreadsheets. Robinhood loitered around $67.10, a stone’s throw from its revised target, and Figure was at $31.14, making its $67 goal look less like a forecast and more like a hopeful prayer whispered into a Ledger.
Bernstein admits macro chaos and crypto’s reputation as a mood ring for risk appetite have nuked valuations. But they’re betting the upcoming earnings season will separate the real builders from the hype-flingers, and sentiment will — eventually — stop throwing the baby out with the bathwater. Or, in crypto terms, stop selling the BTC to pay for the gas fees.
This bullish pivot follows Bernstein’s recent hot take that bitcoin has likely bottomed and is prepping for liftoff again, reiterating their audacious $150,000 year-end target. Either they’re geniuses, or they’ve been breathing too much of that “this time is different” air. Either way
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