Impeachment Futures Moon to 70% as Trump Approval Dips to 2026 Lows

Trump's approval rating has hit rock bottom faster than a shitcoin after a celebrity tweet, dragged down by the ongoing U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran and the rising fuel prices that come with it. Polls from Reuters/Ipsos, AP-NORC, CBS News/YouGov, Rasmussen, Morning Consult, and others show a majority of respondents disapproving of the President's performance—because nothing says "we're not happy" quite like $4 gas and geopolitical chaos.

The Middle East conflict has intensified gas prices across the United States, deepening broader economic strain. That dynamic is playing out clearly in prediction markets—and by "clearly," we mean traders are absolutely loading up.

On Polymarket's "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" market, degen gamblers currently assign a 70% probability to the "Yes" outcome. That's up 18% in recent sessions, because nothing says "political confidence" like watching impeachment odds move like a mid-cap altcoin during a bull run. The market resolves to "Yes" if the U.S. House of Representatives approves at least one article of impeachment by simple majority before January 20, 2029, at 12:00 p.m. Eastern time—so mark your calendars, folks.

Kalshi offers a similar wager with deadline-specific probabilities. Near-term expectations remain modest: just 3% before June 2026 and 13% before 2027. But the window ending January 1, 2028 shows 74% odds—because apparently, 2028 is when things get truly interesting. The market has drawn