XRP's Six-Month Souvenir: A 55% Discount and Counting

XRP is enduring its longest monthly losing streak in over a decade — six straight months of red candles, the worst run since 2014. Since October 2025, the token has shed more than 55% of its value, averaging roughly 10% per month in losses. As of now, XRP is clinging to the $1.30 level, trying to find solid ground while the broader crypto market sends mixed signals.

What's driving XRP's pressure? A perfect storm of market uncertainty, investors cashing out after earlier gains, and attention pivoting to rival blockchains. Throw in liquidity swings and whale activity, and you've got a picture that's crystal clear in all the wrong ways.

The good news? Not all hope is dead. Market analyst GainMuse points to a breakout from a local wedge pattern — a signal that could indicate a potential directional shift. Before bouncing higher, XRP slipped below a crucial macro floor, what analysts call a "liquidity grab" — essentially a shakeout where weak hands get nudged out and stop losses trigger. The quick rebound above this level signals strong buying interest, turning that threatened floor into confirmed support.

All eyes are now on $1.38, a key resistance level that's blocked upward moves before. If XRP can push cleanly through this zone, analysts see it as a gateway to "primary liquidity" — clusters of orders that could fuel a faster rally. XRP also recently confirmed a bull flag on the 3-month chart, lighting up its first green candle in months.

The big question remains: will a pause in this losing streak spark momentum, or will continued declines deepen bearish sentiment as the 50-month EMA