FOMO Till You Drop: Global Debt Smashes Through WWII High Score, IMF Pleads 'This Isn't the Metaverse You Want'
Global public debt is approaching 100% of world GDP, levels not seen since World War II. The IMF is sounding the alarm: with debt elevated and borrowing costs climbing, governments can no longer kick the can down the fiscal road. Apparently, the world's balance sheet has been doing a solo queue into oblivion, and nobody wants to tank their credit rating to call it out.
The IMF chart tells a dramatic story. Global public debt as a percentage of GDP has spiked through every major 20th-century crisis: World War I, the Great Depression, World War II, the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, and COVID-19. If this were a crypto chart, you'd be calling it the most bullish descending resistance line in history—if only the price action weren't everyone's problem.
Here's the plot twist: unlike after World War II, when debt levels plummeted from 150% to under 50% of GDP within two decades, today's trajectory shows no such recovery. Projections indicate debt continuing upward, potentially exceeding even WWII peaks. Post-WWII had something called "economic growth" as a rug pull mechanism. Turns out you can't print your way to prosperity and expect math to stay quiet forever.
Era Dabla-Norris and Rodrigo Valdes write in F&D magazine that "trust is now essential to reconciling competing priorities." In non-government-speak, they face impossible trade-offs between spending, taxation, and debt servicing. Which translates to: someone's got to tell grandma her social security check might be denominated in vibes.
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