XRP Enters Rare Oversold Zone For Only Fourth Time In 13-Year History

The XRP price has returned to a level that has appeared only four times in its history. Market analyst Cryptollica shared the finding on X, noting the zone has historically preceded explosive price rallies for XRP. Each rally, however, came after a long consolidation phase and a series of declines that pushed XRP toward a bottom — a pattern familiar to anyone who has watched a chart for more than five minutes.

XRP Reenters Oversold RSI Zone That Led To Mega Cycle Rallies On June 1, Cryptollica stated on X that XRP's monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has entered its fourth deep oversold reset zone across its entire 13-year trading history. The RSI is currently sitting around 42. While this reading does not signal fully oversold levels yet, the analyst treats it as similar to those observed in previous cycles. He noted that this reading had occurred during the 2014, 2017, and 2022 cycles, and now again in early 2026. In each of those cycles, XRP staged strong parabolic price rallies whenever its monthly RSI reached oversold levels. Based on the analyst's report, this zone had acted as a critical reset point for XRP, often marking cycle bottoms after an extended downtrend.

Looking further back, the 2013 cycle showed a similar structure. XRP had traded within a tightening triangle pattern for a long period, repeatedly testing the lower boundary of the formation before finally confirming a bottom. That price floor aligned with the oversold RSI zone, which ultimately triggered a sharp breakout that pushed XRP above $0.5 and established a new cycle high.

Source: Chart from Cryptollica on X

A comparable structure appears to be forming again. Cryptollica's chart suggests XRP has been trading within a long-term ascending channel since 2017, with a large triangle pattern forming inside it. This structure has broadly guided price action for nearly a decade. During this period, XRP has tested the lower boundary of the channel three times, most recently following a pullback from the 2025 highs near $3. While price action remains under pressure, it is now approaching the apex of the triangle pattern. At the same time, the monthly RSI is aligning with lower levels, similar to the trend seen in the 2013 cycle. The cryptocurrency has now entered the same reset zone, suggesting a potential breakout could be on the horizon.

Analyst Sets Major Upside Targets For XRP With the RSI reset zone now in place, Cryptollica argues that XRP may be positioned for a significant upward move if historical patterns repeat. The chart shared by the analyst outlines a potential breakout scenario driven by the long-term ascending channel structure. Under this projection, XRP's first major target is above $14, at the upper boundary of the channel. If bullish momentum continues beyond that level, the analysis suggests the move could extend toward $26, with a projected cycle peak of up to $50 — modest by crypto chart standards, which is saying something.

XRP trading at $1.24 on the 1D chart | Source: XRPUSDT on Tradingview.com